Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#149
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#118
Pace67.2#199
Improvement+1.0#120

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#123
First Shot+0.3#162
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#79
Layup/Dunks-0.9#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#48
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement-0.1#190

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot-0.7#187
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#66
Freethrows+1.3#94
Improvement+1.2#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round4.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2016 64   @ Illinois L 64-79 17%     0 - 1 -4.0 +1.4 -6.1
  Nov 18, 2016 288   Austin Peay L 69-77 80%     0 - 2 -16.0 -13.5 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2016 281   Delaware W 74-53 79%     1 - 2 +13.4 +0.8 +13.4
  Nov 20, 2016 274   @ Miami (OH) W 79-70 69%     2 - 2 +4.7 +5.4 -1.0
  Nov 26, 2016 182   NC Central L 74-82 66%     2 - 3 -11.4 +3.6 -15.2
  Nov 30, 2016 203   @ Morehead St. W 84-79 53%     3 - 3 +5.1 +9.2 -4.1
  Dec 03, 2016 293   @ Norfolk St. W 72-61 74%     4 - 3 +5.1 +5.2 +0.8
  Dec 07, 2016 225   Eastern Illinois W 80-70 76%     5 - 3 +3.4 +15.6 -10.9
  Dec 10, 2016 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 80-66 60%     6 - 3 +12.2 +6.1 +6.2
  Dec 18, 2016 186   Eastern Washington W 70-48 67%     7 - 3 +18.4 -0.5 +21.1
  Dec 23, 2016 5   @ West Virginia L 61-92 3%     7 - 4 -8.7 -1.7 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2016 295   @ Detroit Mercy W 81-70 75%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +4.9 +8.2 -2.4
  Dec 31, 2016 108   @ Oakland L 65-76 31%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -5.0 +1.6 -7.2
  Jan 05, 2017 282   Youngstown St. W 83-70 85%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +2.8 -6.0 +7.3
  Jan 07, 2017 245   Cleveland St. W 83-75 79%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +0.4 +19.4 -18.1
  Jan 10, 2017 185   @ Green Bay L 71-80 47%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -7.4 -1.6 -5.6
  Jan 12, 2017 253   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 58-68 64%     10 - 7 3 - 3 -12.9 -8.2 -6.1
  Jan 20, 2017 108   Oakland L 70-79 50%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -8.1 -0.5 -7.5
  Jan 22, 2017 295   Detroit Mercy W 101-87 87%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +2.8 +6.6 -5.4
  Jan 27, 2017 247   @ Illinois-Chicago W 79-62 63%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +14.4 -1.8 +14.6
  Jan 29, 2017 100   @ Valparaiso L 58-65 28%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +0.0 -2.7 +1.8
  Feb 04, 2017 165   @ Wright St. W 83-79 43%     13 - 9 6 - 5 +6.6 +9.6 -3.0
  Feb 09, 2017 185   Green Bay W 69-67 66%     14 - 9 7 - 5 -1.5 +1.6 -2.9
  Feb 11, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 69-63 80%     15 - 9 8 - 5 -2.0 +4.4 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2017 245   @ Cleveland St. W 62-60 63%     16 - 9 9 - 5 -0.5 +0.5 -0.7
  Feb 18, 2017 282   @ Youngstown St. L 77-81 72%     16 - 10 9 - 6 -9.1 -5.7 -3.2
  Feb 21, 2017 165   Wright St. W 83-76 63%     17 - 10 10 - 6 +4.5 +10.5 -5.7
  Feb 24, 2017 247   Illinois-Chicago W 90-82 79%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +0.3 +6.2 -6.6
  Feb 26, 2017 100   Valparaiso W 82-78 46%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +5.9 +16.7 -10.5
  Mar 05, 2017 165   Wright St. W 82-77 53%     20 - 10 +5.1 +7.9 -2.9
  Mar 06, 2017 282   Youngstown St. W 84-74 79%     21 - 10 +2.3 +4.6 -2.5
  Mar 07, 2017 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 59-53 73%     22 - 10 +0.6 -7.6 +9.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.2 1.0 75.1 23.9
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.2 1.0 75.1 23.9